Can
ideology and political agenda change overnight? At least, that is the message
Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) Chairperson and former Prime Minister Begum
Khaleda Zia carried when she arrived in India on October 28 for an
eight-day visit.
Begum
Zia came at the invitation of the Government of India. There have been some
comments that this is a change in India ’s
Bangladesh
strategy. This is not correct.
Certainly,
following the assassination of Sk. Mujibur Rahaman in August 1975, New Delhi felt betrayed.
The operation to kill Sk. Mujib was a cooperative venture between the USA (read mainly Secretary of State Henry
Kissenger), Pakistan ,
and a group of Bangladeshis who pretended to be pro-liberation but were trying
to reverse history. Hence, not only the government of India but the Indian people at
large burst out with a series of emotions.
Relations
began to improve when Gen. H.M. Ershad became president of Bangladesh . From the 1990s, the
Indian government adopted the policy that India
will be nice to Bangladesh
and ‘hope Bangladesh ’
would reciprocate. And this policy was irrespective of the political party in
power at the centre.
With
economic liberalization in the early 1990s under Prime Minister Narsimha Rao
and architected by Finance Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh, India began to grow. But the growth
story would be a greater success if the neighbours also grew together.
But
that did not happen. Pakistan
expectedly remained the spoiler. But there was a great opportunity for Bangladesh to join India . The entire Bangladeshi
policies went through a regressive storm, especially during the BNP’s rule from
2001 to 2006. The ruling four-party alliance comprising mainly of the BNP and
JEI marked India
as the main enemy. Those were tense years. The JEI spoke about winning the
majority in Parliament by 2013 and bringing Bangladesh under Sharia law. Some
BNP leaders also floated an idea of confederation type of relationship with Pakistan .
The
BNP-JEI coalition gave enough opportunities to India to react strongly on the
ground. It was not only of attacks on Hindus just after the elections which saw
Hindu migration to India .
An Indian Border Security Force (BSF) officer was abducted from Indian Territory by Bangladeshi villagers assisted by the
Bangladeshi border force, the BDR, tortured and killed, and his body taken
around tied to a bamboo pole, and photographs widely printed in the media. Had
the BSF retaliated, the BDR would have been routed. But calmer political
counsel prevailed in New Delhi .
Then were many other incidents of provocation.
A
major insurgency in North-East India was prevented when ten-truck loads of arms
landed in the Chittagong
port in April 2004 was accidentally detected. The BNP-JEI government tried to
paper over the incident. These arms were meant for the Assam insurgents ULFA, the Naga
insurgents and others.
This
case is in the court now, and witness’ statements reveal that those involved
include Begum Zia’s elder son Tareq Reheman, de facto leader of the BNP, the
then Minister of State for Home, Lutffozaman Babar, JEI Chief Motiur Reheman
Nizami, and a host of intelligence officers. Pakistan ’s ISI funded the operation
through a media front. The arms were brought from China .
During
her meeting with Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Foreign Minister Salman
Khurshid, Begum Zia assured they will support anti-terrorism policy and would
not allow Bangladesh ’s
territory to be used against India .
When asked by journalists on the BNP’s position on the Chittagong arms haul case, one of Khaleda
Zia’s spokesmen said if they returned to power the case would be reinvestigated
by an independent body. This gives lie to all the nice pronouncements.’
Khaleda
Zia is on record to say that if her party came to power all agreements with
Indian signed by the present Awami League government would be annulled. The BNP
opposed the transport corridor for India to its North-East on several
grounds. The most important reason proferred was if an India-China war broke
out, India will be able
transfer arms and troops quickly through Bangladesh
to its border, and it would annoy China .
The
BNP cannot do without the JEI and the other anti-India radical parties. The JEI
has its fixed agenda and has close relations with the terrorist organizations
some of which have begun to stir against. Connections of some of the BNP
leaders including that of Tareq Reheman with terrorist organizations is well
known and recorded. BNP-JEI terrorists form a triangular relationship which
Khaleda Zia cannot discard. She knows that if she does so, she will be creating
two new and dangerous enemies. She is caught in that vicious trap. Khaleda
cannot afford to support the Liberation War Crimes trial because it would be
counter-productive.
Begum
Khaleda Zia’s sudden change is a riddle. Before coming to India she visited China
on a party invitation and a high level Chinese led by Politburo Standing
Committee member Li Changchun was in Dhaka and
held discussions with her and her party leaders. At the moment the Chinese do
not want instability in South Asia and would have advised Khaleda to mend
relations with India .
China had in the past months
also advised Pakistan to
improve relations with India .
For Beijing ,
Indian influence is preferable to American influence.
After
a whole history of anti-Indianism, a sudden showering of goodwill from the BNP
is difficult to digest. For India
it will be good if the BNP adopts a normal relationship with India . If not,
the status quo will remain and Bangladesh ’s
economic development will be hurt. It will be for the voters of Bangladesh
to judge that at the next elections just over a year ahead.
Source: http://www.eurasiareview.com/06112012-bangladesh-begums-india-visit-real-or-ephimeral-analysis/