The
vote-bank politics practiced by India’s politicians has transformed Assam into
a simmering cauldron of communal violence between the indigenous Assamese Bodos
and the Bangladeshi Muslims who have immigrated illegally. The violence in
Assam has exposed the fault lines, and is capable of exposing and worsening the
communal divide in the State. The volatile situation was summed up by Chief
Minister Tarun Gogoi as “living on a volcano”.
A
brief history of the conflict
Assam shares an international border with Bangladesh and
has been plagued with the problem of illegal immigration by Bangladeshi Muslims
for the past four decades. The Governor of Assam, in a secret communique to the
Central Government in 2005, revealed that “upto 6000 Bangladeshis enter Assam
every day.” According to conservative estimates, India is host to around ten
million illegal Bangladeshi immigrants. Assam itself is inhabited by around
five million illegal immigrants.
Successive
Governments in New Delhi have tried to brush aside the problem for the fear of
offending and alienating minority interests and alienating the valuable
votebank, much to the chagrin of the BJP and its partners like the AGP. Delhi
has always adopted a myopic view of the problem, and Assam seems to be paying
for Delhi’s mistakes.
In 1947, Pakistan was divided into a
Bengali-speaking East Pakistan and an Urdu-speaking West Pakistan by the
geographical presence of India. In 1971, it became clear that religion could
not bind the two disparate entities into a single nation. The revolt against
the linguistic hegemony of West Pakistanis resulted in genocide of the East
Pakistanis.
Unable to withstand the brutality of the
Pakistani army, millions of Bangladeshis crossed over into the safer climes of
India. Indian States like Assam and West Bengal bore the brunt of this influx.
Although India provided sanctuary to these refugees, it nonetheless referred to
this influx as “bloodless aggression” which could irretrievably impair the
“economic and political well being” of the country.
India’s military intervention against the
Pakistani army’s genocide of the East Pakistanis led to the creation of
Bangladesh in 1971.
However, despite the creation of Bangladesh, India
did not get any respite from the influx of Bangladeshi Muslims. The magnitude
of this influx can only be assessed from the fact that the period between 1971
and 1991 witnessed the growth of Muslim population in Assam by 77.42 per cent
as compared to a Hindu growth of 41.89 per cent. The population explosion has
subsequently stabilised but even then, the decadal growth of 1991-2001 at 29.3
per cent for Muslims remained abnormally high as compared to a Hindu growth at
14.9 per cent.
Dhubri, which shares a long riverine border
with Bangladesh, is an example of how illegal infiltration into the State
continues unabated. As per provisional census details for the period 2001-2011,
the decadal population growth for Dhubri at 24.4 per cent was distinctly higher
when compared to the population growth of Assam at 16.9 percent for the same
period. With the Brahmaputra River providing convenient entry points, the
district is being virtually overrun by Bangladeshi infiltrators. Incidentally,
Dhubri was one of the flash points during the violence in the State.
Ostrich
head in sand approach
The Indian polity, with its penchant for
encouraging illegal immigration for the sake of vote-bank politics, prefers the
‘ostrich head in sand’ approach to this issue. This has grievous national
implications.
Porous and inadequately defended
international borders, coupled with a lack of political will to counter the
menace of illegal immigration, have ensured a massive and uncontrolled
demographic upheaval in the State. Taking advantage of this demographic shift,
illegal immigrants have staked their claims to the resources of the State.
This, in turn, has raised the hackles of indigenous populations of the State —
now poised to become a minority in their own homeland. While the latter are
obviously disgruntled, neither side is in a mood to back down.
Lack of political will to confront illegal
immigration manifested itself in the blatantly perverted Illegal Migrants
(Determination by Tribunal) Act of 1983. The Act was introduced specifically
for Assam, replacing the Foreigners Act of 1946 which remains in effect for the
rest of India.
The provisions of the IMDT Act ranged from
the bizarre (the State can only act against the illegal immigrants on the basis
of a complaint and not suo motu); to the tragic (the onus of establishing the
foreign origin of the accused lies on the complainant and not the accused).
Such provisions made it virtually
impossible to deport any illegal immigrant from Assam. It did not come as a
surprise to many when only 1,481 illegal immigrants had been expelled upto
April 30, 2000 based on over three hundred thousand enguiries.
The Supreme Court of India struck down the
IMDT Act in 2005 as ultra vires to the Constitution of India. The Court
referred to the Act as the “main impediment or barrier in the identification
and deportation of illegal mmigrants.” The Court also compared illegal
immigration with “external aggression,” which had made the life of the people
of Assam “wholly insecure and the panic generated thereby had created fear
psychosis.”
In a revealing observation, the Supreme Court
called upon the Government of India to protect “Assam from such external
aggression and internal disturbance.” Ironically, it was this very “bloodless
aggression” which India had used as a pretext to go to war with Pakistan in
1971.
The Congress which has been the dominant
political force, both at the Central level and in Assam post independence, has
often been accused of tacitly encouraging this infiltration for political
gains. So far, Gogoi and his friends seem to be in no hurry to dispel this
accusation.
Illegal migrants are mobilised to vote en
masse for Congress candidates as quid pro quo to unhindered access to every
national resource. In catering to myopic political returns, the party and the
Government have turned a blind eye to the destabilising impact of the
socio-economic volatility arising out of this influx. In a statement which is
telling of the party’s abetment of illegal migration, Chief Minister Tarun
Gogoi was quick to rescind his initial statement of Assam “living on a
volcano,” with a “There are no Bangladeshis in the clash but Indian citizens.”
Evidently, the vote-bank cannot be disturbed
and therefore national interests are being sacrificed at the altar of political
expediency. It is disturbing to know that the political class (by their
actions) believe that the two are mutually exclusive.
Encouraged by the pusillanimous approach of
the Governments, fundamentalists have started manipulating illegal migrants for
their own gains. Fundamentalist Muslim leaders in Assam have already issued
calls for ‘jihad’ if the indigenous Bodos involved in retaliation during the
violence were not arrested.
Even attempts by the Government of India to
prepare a National Register of Citizens based on the 1971 rolls in the State
for an authentic documentation of the population have failed to make any
headway in the face of strong opposition from these Muslim groups.
Fundamentalist groups are apprehensive about
political power slipping away from their hands, once the process of
identification of the illegal migrants is initiated in earnest. That the effort
to prepare the NRC is abandoned at the slightest resistance, exemplifies the
connivance of the politicians with this illicit immigration.
What
the future may hold
Political shortsightedness has resulted in a
situation where most Indian cities are getting burdened with these illegal
Bangladeshi immigrants. The immigrants who have started shifting to greener
urban pastures, which offer greater economic opportunities. However, it is in
Assam that the conflict between the Indians and illegal Bangladeshi Muslims is
growing. Emotions have been running high ever since the migrants started
obtaining squatters rights on the lands which they were initially employed to
till.
With the demography being dramatically
altered by their steady influx, illegal immigrants have started wielding
enormous political power in Assam. Muslims have become the majority in 11 out
27 districts in the State and the dominant factor in determining electoral
fortunes in 54 out of 126 constituencies in the local Assembly. A stage has
been reached where no party can expect to attain political dominance without
support from the Bangladeshi Muslims.
It is this conversion of the illegal migrants
into a political force, that has made the indigenous population apprehensive of
losing its identity and culture.
This unfettered illegal migration has ominous
implications for national security and socio-economic stability. Intelligence
inputs indicate that the Inter Service Intelligence Agency (ISI) of Pakistan is
utilising these migrants as conduits to ferry in terrorists and arms into
India. Counterfeit Indian currency with its origins in Bangladesh has flooded
border areas, crippling the economy in these parts.
It is often said that those who forget
history are condemned to repeat it. Kashmir is a case in point. Gogoi and his
friends should brush up on their history.